“Science fiction is not predictive; it is descriptive.”
Ursula K. Le Guin
World War Z is not a new book. But it’s a book worth reading (or revisiting) when thinking about emergency powers and public policy. Don’t worry if you’re not a fan of the zombie genre—this book reads more like a Ken Burns documentary than an episode of The Walking Dead.
Ursula K. Le Guin described science fiction as a thought experiment, and that’s how Max Brooks approaches his story: Let’s say the world was struck by a zombie pandemic.
The reader interested in questions about economics and public policy in a free society will find herself considering a world without easy answers. The pandemic imagined in World War Z is devastating. It begins with an interview in Chongqing, an area that “at its prewar height…boasted a population of over thirty-five million people. Now, there are barely fifty thousand.” Humanity has survived—barely—not merely a pandemic, but near extinction.
In the unlikely event that any reader in 2020 fancies themselves without preconceptions about the right response to a global public health threat, Brooks pushes these convictions to their limits. Expert failure and government failure, but also the limits of liberalism and the great society are all on full display. There’s no unicorn governance in this zombie apocalypse.
Eerily, it all begins with an outbreak in China, a cover-up, and unheeded warnings.
Brooks speculates about plausible failures (maybe even the inability) of modern, liberal- democratic governments to prepare for an apocalypse scenario. Once concerns can no longer be dismissed outright, many politicians institute cheap, showy, early-stage responses but balk at the expensive and unpopular elements of a thorough response. The military undergoes costly trial and error as it comes to grips with how ill- suited tactics developed for fighting the living are for fighting the undead. Skeptics of big government may nod along. Those who see value in grand plans will be frustrated.
But there’s just as much in the book to prompt the opposite reaction. Invasive, expensive, expert-guided government is successful for some. Peace, opulence, and specialization leave citizens as unprepared as their governments. Successful nations in the book benefit from physical borders—walls, mountains, and oceans—and military might. The entire economy is subsumed to plans to survive the war and human wishes, property, and even lives are reduced to deployable and often expendable resources. And many survivors of the Zombie War find satisfaction in manual labour (baking bread?) and community as members of a truly shared endeavour.
Hayek wrote that the government’s regard for limiting its action to what’s required to sustain the liberal order may be “temporarily suspended when the long-run preservation of that order is itself threatened. But a decade after the end of the book’s hostilities, loss of life has collapsed the extent of the market. Division of labour has broken down. Governments retain incredible levels of control. Survivors think of those who have too much regard for individual plans and wishes as selfish. In some places, the liberal order was lost anyway—a reminder that having a good reason to do something doesn’t mean that doing something will give us the outcome we want.
The virtue of this book lies in the discomfort it should cause when readers challenge their political convictions. Less comfortable still is the book’s apparent prescience in light of the 2020 pandemic—drastic change turned out not to require a zombie apocalypse. It’s a more useful thought experiment than we’d like.